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    1. CBN丨China's economy shows further improvement in October

      2023年11月15日 20:34   21世紀經濟報道 21財經APP   李瑩亮
      中英文帶你速覽中國經濟頭條。

      Hi everyone. I’m Stephanie LI.

      大家好,我是主持人李瑩亮。

      Coming up on today’s program.

      重點提要 

      • China's economy continues to show recovery in October;

      • Goldman Sachs predicts China’s core stock indexes to pop 12-16% in 2024.

      Here’s what you need to know about China in the past 24 hours 

      中國經濟要聞

      China's economy improved further in October, with some key economic data released on Wednesday showing signs of continued recovery.

      Figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed China's value-added industrial output - a gauge of activity in the manufacturing, mining and utilities sectors - grew by 4.6 percent from a year earlier in October, up from the 4.5 percent rise in September.

      Retail sales, a key measurement of consumer spending, jumped 7.6 percent year-on-year in October, accelerated from a rise of 5.5 percent registered in September. Total retail sales of consumer goods topped 38.54 trillion yuan in the January-October period, up 6.9 percent from one year earlier

      Fixed-asset investment went up 2.9 percent year on year to about 41.94 trillion yuan in the first ten months, while, in the January-September period, it increased 3.1 percent year-on-year. Meanwhile, investment in property development continued to cool in the first 10 months of 2023, down 9.3 percent year on year. Commercial housing sales shrank 4.9 percent year on year to 9.72 trillion yuan.

      Commenting on the latest figures, Liu Aihua, spokesperson for the NBS, said the national economy overall sustained “good momentum of recovery”.

      Despite fresh signs of stabilization, Liu said the economy still faces many unstable and uncertain factors in the external environment while domestic demand remains insufficient.

      The country will ensure the implementation of macro policies in place to consolidate the foundation for recovery, with a key focus on expanding domestic demand, boosting confidence and fending off risks, according to the NBS.

      In response to a media question, Liu said China’s economy is unlikely to face deflationary risks, and in the coming time, consumer prices operating within a low-price range will gradually ease. 

      China's broad money supply has maintained relatively fast growth, and market liquidity is generally reasonable and ample, Liu noted. China's consumer price index edged down 0.2 percent year on year in October. Liu attributed the fall to "structural factors" in the contributors to CPI, with weak food prices being a big drag.

      隨著穩增長政策持續落地見效以及去年同期基數較低,10月大部分經濟指標出現回升,尤其是受節假日需求釋放拉動,消費回升幅度尤為明顯。

      國家統計局11月15日發布的10月份經濟數據顯示,10月份,社會消費品零售總額43333億元,同比增長7.6%,比上月加快2.1個百分點;環比增長0.07%。1-10月份,服務零售額同比增長19.0%,比1-9月份加快0.1個百分點。

      10月份,全國規模以上工業增加值同比增長4.6%,比上月加快0.1個百分點;環比增長0.39%,連續兩個月實現同比正增長。劉愛華表示,利潤連續增長表明市場需求持續恢復,有利于提高企業生產積極性。

      投資方面,1-10月份,全國固定資產投資(不含農戶)419409億元,同比增長2.9%,比1-9月份回落0.2個百分點。分領域來看,1-10月份,全國房地產開發投資同比下滑9.3%,降幅比1-9月擴大0.2個百分點。

      國家統計局新聞發言人、國民經濟綜合統計司司長劉愛華15日在國新辦新聞發布會上表示,10月份國民經濟延續了持續恢復向好的勢頭,經濟發展的韌性、活力和潛力繼續顯現。也要看到,當前外部壓力仍然較大,國內需求不足制約仍較突出,企業生產經營困難較多,一些領域風險隱患需要高度關注。

      從下階段情況看,隨著宏觀政策效應的繼續釋放,需求改善對生產帶動的作用將會進一步增強,加之產業轉型升級的穩步推進,經濟有望延續恢復向好態勢。

      劉愛華在答記者問時表示,從需求變化來看,商品和服務的需求都是在持續恢復的。從貨幣條件看,廣義貨幣保持較快增長,市場流動性總體合理充裕?;谶@些因素判斷,下階段價格低位運行的狀況將會逐步緩解,不會出現通貨緊縮。

      Next on industry and company news

      產業及公司新聞

      • China’s installed capacity of distributed photovoltaic power generated by households is nearly equivalent to that of five Three Gorges hydropower stations, which is the largest hydropower station in the world. China's residential solar installations has reached 105 million kilowatts by September, the National Energy Administration said Tuesday. Shandong, Henan and Hebei provinces are the top three provinces in terms of installed capacity of household PV power, accounting for about 60 percent of the country’s total, it said.

        戶用光伏裝機容量已近5座三峽電站:11月14日,國家能源局發布的最新數據顯示,截至今年9月底,全國戶用分布式光伏累計裝機容量達到1.05億千瓦,農村地區戶用分布式光伏累計安裝戶數已超過500萬戶,帶動有效投資超過5000億元。從區域分布看,截至今年9月底,山東、河南、河北戶用分布式光伏累計裝機居全國前三位,裝機容量分別為2448萬千瓦、2084萬千瓦、1666萬千瓦,合計6198萬千瓦,約占全國的60%。

      • Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, one of Chinese e-commerce giant’s six business groups, has reportedly concluded its acquisition of Visable, a European business-to-business digital trade platform. Visable will retain its independence after the deal, with both the German firm’s management and organizational structure remaining unchanged. Going forward, wholesale marketplace platform AIDC will operate in Europe with two brands, Alibaba and Visable. 

        阿里巴巴國際站收購歐洲B2B平臺Visable:11月14日獲悉,阿里巴巴國際站已經完成了對歐洲本土B2B數字貿易平臺Visable的收購。此次收購之后,Visable將繼續保持獨立運營,管理層和組織架構均保持不變。自此,阿里巴巴國際站將在歐洲實現雙品牌運營,通過多個B2B數字貿易平臺服務更多客戶。 

      • Apple has told leading mobile phone apps to disable the motion detection function that triggers in-app advertising, according to media reports yesterday. The move by the US tech giant follows action by Chinese regulators to rein in the feature. Since the start of this month, Apple has contacted leading mobile apps to require them to stop accessing the iPhone’s angular velocity sensors, thereby switching off the motion detection function, the report said.  

        蘋果據報將禁止搖一搖廣告:據媒體14日報道,11月以來,蘋果公司已經通知國內多家頭部App,要求它們移除陀螺儀權限,禁止搖一搖跳轉廣告。據報道,收到通知的App包括但不限于在線視頻軟件、短視頻軟件、音頻軟件、郵箱軟件等等。接下來,其所在公司可能會發布新版本App,在蘋果的App Store上架,新版本將沒有搖一搖跳轉廣告。

      Earnings reports express

      財報速遞

      • Tencent on Wednesday reported a better-than-expected net profit of 36.2 billion yuan in the third quarter, up by 10 billion yuan from the previous quarter. Revenue came in at 154.6 billion yuan, also up from the 149.2 billion yuan registered in the second quarter. Online ad revenue totaled 25.7 billion yuan, while earnings from domestic gaming market tallied 32.7 billion yuan and those from overseas market stood at 13.3 billion yuan. MAUs of Tencent’s instant messaging app WeChat slightly expanded to 1.34 billion at the end of September.

        騰訊三季度凈利超預期:11月15日,騰訊三季報出爐,凈利潤高于市場預期。騰訊第三季度營收1,546億元人民幣,凈利潤361.8億元,遠高于二季度的凈利潤261.7億元。三季度NON-IFRS凈利449.2億元,同比增39%。第三季度網絡廣告收入257.2億元人民幣。第三季度本土市場游戲收入327億元人民幣,國際市場游戲收入133億元人民幣。第三季度收費增值服務付費會員數2.5億。微信及WECHAT的月活躍帳戶13.4億。

      • Tencent Music Entertainment beat third-quarter revenue estimates on Tuesday, as revenue from music subscriptions and its number of paying users surged to a record in the third quarter. Tencent Music, which operates music streaming platforms such as QQ Music and Kugou Music, said its total revenue fell 10.8 percent to 6.57 billion yuan in the three-month period versus the same period last year. Net profit came in at 1.26 billion yuan, up 6.5 percent year on year. MAUs of the biggest segment, social entertainment, as well as monthly average revenue per paid user fell by 17 percent and 51.4 percent year on year, dragging down revenue of the segment by 49 percent to 2 billion yuan. Another chunk of its main business, streaming music, saw a 33 percent revenue boost to 4.6 billion yuan, fueled by double-digit jumps in paid users, which hit a new high of 103 million.

        騰訊音樂三季度在線音樂表現理想:11月14日下午,騰訊音樂娛樂集團發布了截至2023年9月30日的第三季度未經審計財務業績,受社交娛樂服務收入下降的影響,其總收入同比下降10.8%至65.7億元;凈利潤12.6億元,同比增長15.6%,非國際財務報告準則凈利潤為15億元,同比增長6.5%。具體而言,社交娛樂服務及其他收入從2022年同期的39.4億元下降48.8%至20.2億元。社交娛樂服務的平均月活躍用戶數和每付費用戶的平均收益分別出現了16.8%和51.4%的同比下降。另一方面,三季度騰訊音樂娛樂的在線音樂收入為45.5 億元,同比增長32.7%。其中,在線音樂訂閱收入同比增42%至31.9億元,在線音樂付費用戶1.03億創新高。

      Switching gears to financial news

      金融市場消息

      • China’s major stock market indexes will achieve double-digit growth next year due to increases in earnings per share and valuation recovery, according to Goldman Sachs on Monday. The MSCI China Index, a gauge of large and mid-cap shares of Chinese companies, and the CSI 300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks traded on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, will rise by 12 and 16 percent, respectively, in 2024. As companies' profitability is rebounding from record low market caps while the Chinese economy continues to improve, Goldman Sachs has maintained its buy rating on A-shares but downgraded its rating on Chinese firms' equities listed offshore.

        高盛維持高配A股建議:11月13日舉行的2024高盛中國宏觀經濟展望及股票市場動態媒體交流會上,高盛預計,中資股每股盈利明年約升10%,連同估值溫和修復,MSCI中國指數和滬深300指數在2024年可分別上漲12%和16%,目標點數分別為66點和4200點。鑒于中國經濟形勢改善推動企業盈利回升、A股估值處于歷史低位,高盛股票策略團隊維持對A股的“高配”建議。

      Wrapping up with a quick look at the stock market

      股市收盤情況

      • Chinese stocks rose on Wednesday on the back of largely positive economic data and a decision by the country's central bank to boost liquidity injection through seven-day reverse repos. The benchmark Shanghai Composite added 0.6 percent, and the Shenzhen Component gained 0.7 percent. Hong Kong stocks soared almost 4 percent as the cut in stamp duty is about to take effect, and the TECH index also jumped 4.4 percent.

        A股小幅上升港股大漲:周三A股大盤全天高開后震蕩回落,三大指數均小幅上漲。截至收盤,滬指漲0.55%,深成指漲0.72%,創業板指漲0.53%。超3300只個股上漲。滬深兩市今日成交額9900億,較上個交易日放量966億。北向資金全天凈買入36.26億元,終結連續6日凈賣出。香港下調印花稅稅率即將生效,港股大漲,恒指收漲3.92%,恒生科技指數收漲4.41%。

      Biz Word of the Day

      財經詞匯劃重點

      • In-app advertising based on motion detection leads to ads popping up on apps when the handset is moved in a certain way.

        “搖一搖”的技術原理是基于手機自身的重力感應,用外力調整重力感應的狀態,產生位置變化而觸發對應搜索和配對。

      Executive Editor: Sonia YU

      Editor: LI Yanxia

      Host: Stephanie LI

      Writer: Stephanie LI 

      Sound Editor: Stephanie LI

      Graphic Designer: ZHENG Wenjing, LIAO Yuanni

      Produced by 21st Century Business Herald Dept. of Overseas News.

      Presented by SFC

      編委:  于曉娜

      策劃、編輯:李艷霞 

      播音:李瑩亮

      撰稿:李瑩亮

      音頻制作:李瑩亮

      設計:鄭文靜、廖苑妮

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